Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 37.218688 42.749851 48.719043 55.627111 63.388326 71.825287 81.677329
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 28.213897 36.035085 45.269030 56.911636 71.129808 87.854575 108.936718
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 20.952402 29.226495 39.742370 53.947637 72.474435 95.638737 126.586714
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 17.757166 26.624092 38.587374 55.661727 79.110585 109.846571 152.775451
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 15.794935 25.207283 38.573600 58.558767 87.214163 126.266635 182.825348
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 13.131895 22.279938 35.934125 57.283032 89.173364 134.255512 201.790336
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 10.727188 19.317295 32.770195 54.721415 88.804189 138.663939 215.732397
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 10.042313 18.978184 33.524218 58.079325 97.385446 156.446570 249.984591
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 9.757728 19.249775 35.238659 63.045803 108.754401 179.043245 292.712958
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.764534 18.120548 34.475877 63.847117 113.514214 191.787694 321.190124
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 7.768128 16.829604 33.263182 63.719608 116.664446 202.110316 346.399780
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.834145 15.511468 31.830611 63.023612 118.725957 210.710719 369.242892
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 6.094000 14.516576 30.961596 63.404364 122.941223 223.562940 400.566526
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.453147 13.637538 30.227426 63.997177 127.655151 237.705878 435.186218
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.483843 11.872505 27.517485 60.536429 124.722208 238.580709 447.544268
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.149141 11.484240 27.546867 62.396752 131.739112 257.154895 491.244554
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.960085 11.408014 28.216627 65.592674 141.510371 281.183118 545.765128
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.432933 10.401485 26.734005 64.180304 142.205203 288.802306 571.574900
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.882532 9.222864 24.696735 61.346434 139.791719 290.458041 586.617125
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.811282 9.319820 25.625582 65.060362 150.927398 318.169380 650.858556
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.841524 9.706147 27.285894 70.549025 166.104459 354.382121 732.625867
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.608702 9.292362 26.940684 71.434116 171.658047 372.298224 780.854872
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 2.348743 8.745956 26.190411 71.293282 174.985782 386.009070 821.724062